************************************************************************ ** MODEL=A84PC ** BASE CASE: MEDIAN INPUTS ASSUMPTIONS **** ** DATA=DATAA ** 22 August 1989 ADDL METHANE MODS **** ************************************************************************ *** DETAILED PRINTED OUTPUT OPTION CODES: NOPT.NE.1==> PRINT *** 1 =NOPT(1) =TABLE OF PROGRAM CONTROL PARAMETERS 1 =NOPT(2) =TABLE OF INPUT VARIABLES (THIS DATA SET) 1 =NOPT(3) =INTERMEDIATE OUTPUT FROM SUBROUTINES XXXX AND REVISE 1 =NOPT(4) =INTERMEDIATE OUTPUT FROM SUBROUTINE ELAS 1 =NOPT(5) =REGIONAL ENERGY BALANCE TABLES FOR PERIOD M 1 =NOPT(6) =SUMMARY TABLES FOR PERIOD M 1 =NOPT(7) =PRICE DATA TABLES FOR PERIOD M 0 =NOPT(8) =CARBON DIOXIDE & METHANE OUTPUT FOR PERIOD M 1 =NOPT(9) =SUMMARY TABLES FOR ALL PERIODS 6 =NUMBER OF FORECAST PERIODS ************************************************************************ ** MODEL=A84PC ** BASE CASE: MEDIAN INPUTS ASSUMPTIONS **** ** DATA=DATAA ** 1 SEPTEMBER 1988 METHANE MODS **** ************************************************************************ TRI--TRANSPORTATION COSTS FOR TRADED FUELS PIM--INITIAL ESTIMATE OF PRICES FOR TRADED FUELS BY FUEL AND PERIOD (UNITS=1975 DOLLARS PER GJ (GIGAJOULE)) OIL GAS COAL 0.1397 0.5000 .3409 TRI 1.8398 0.6256 0.5121 PIM M=1 2.65 0.84 0.62 PIM M=2 3.77 1.37 0.70 PIM M=3 4.74 2.23 0.87 PIM M=4 5.90 3.41 1.06 PIM M=5 6.70 3.43 1.43 PIM M=6 TXILM -- TRADE BARRIERS (SCALE FACTOR APPLIED TO FUEL PRICES) OIL -- TXILM 1975 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 REGION 0.98 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 USA 1.48 1.48 1.48 1.48 1.48 1.48 CANADA&EUR 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 JANZ 0.9294 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 EUSSR 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 ACENP 0.0929 0.40 0.70 1.00 1.00 1.00 MIDEAST 1.9983 1.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 AFR 0.9945 1.02 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 LA 0.85 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 S&E ASIA GAS -- TXILM 1975 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 REGION 0.1802 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 USA 1.80 1.80 1.40 1.20 1.20 1.20 CANADA&EUR 1.84 1.55 1.25 1.00 1.00 1.00 JANZ 0.1802 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 EUSSR 0.1802 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 ACENP 0.0901 0.70 0.85 1.00 1.00 1.00 MIDEAST 0.1802 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 AFR 0.1802 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 LA 0.1802 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 S&E ASIA COAL -- TXILM 1975 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 REGION 0.6004 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 USA 2.07 2.07 1.75 1.50 1.50 1.50 CANADA&EUR 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 JANZ 0.6124 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 EUSSR 0.6004 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 ACENP 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 MIDEAST 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 AFR 1.08 1.04 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 LA 1.08 1.04 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 S&E ASIA TXJKLM -- ENERGY TAXES ON FINAL CONSUMPTION BY FUEL, REGION AND PERIOD OIL -- TXJKLM 1975 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 REGION 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 USA R&C 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 USA IND 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 USA TRANS 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 CAN&E R&C 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 CAN&E IND 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 CAN&E TRANS 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 JANZ R&C 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 JANZ IND 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 JANZ TRANS 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 EUSSR 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 ACENP 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 MIDEAST 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 AFR 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 LA 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 S&E ASIA GAS -- TXJKLM 1975 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 REGION 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 USA R&C 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 USA IND 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 USA TRANS 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 CAN&E R&C 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 CAN&E IND 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 CAN&E TRANS 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 JANZ R&C 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 JANZ IND 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 JANZ TRANS 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 EUSSR 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 ACENP 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 MIDEAST 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 AFR 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 LA 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 S&E ASIA COAL -- TXJKLM 1975 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 REGION 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 USA R&C 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 USA IND 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 USA TRANS 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 CAN&E R&C 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 CAN&E IND 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 CAN&E TRANS 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 JANZ R&C 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 JANZ IND 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 JANZ TRANS 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 EUSSR 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 ACENP 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 MIDEAST 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 AFR 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 LA 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 S&E ASIA ELECTRICITY -- TXJKLM 1975 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 REGION 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 USA R&C 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 USA IND 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 USA TRANS 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 CAN&E R&C 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 CAN&E IND 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 CAN&E TRANS 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 JANZ R&C 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 JANZ IND 1.00 1.000 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 JANZ TRANS 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 EUSSR 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 ACENP 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 MIDEAST 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 AFR 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 LA 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 S&E ASIA POPULATION (ZLM) UNITS=THOUSANDS OF PERSONS 1950 1975 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- -------- 152271. 214000. 254000. 282000. 288000. 292000. 292000. USA 300245. 405000. 476000. 528000. 553000. 562000. 562000. CAN&WEU 96307. 128000. 154000. 164000. 167000. 169000. 169000. JANZ 286136. 395000. 472000. 516000. 533000. 541000. 541000. EUSSR 590509. 911000. 1248000. 1499000. 1612000. 1647000. 1647000. ACENP 39048. 81000. 147000. 199000. 232000. 241000. 241000. MIDEAST 222039. 399000. 697000. 943000. 1101000. 1150000. 1150000. AFR 165764. 313000. 540000. 718000. 823000. 849000. 849000. LA 652760. 1130000. 1904000. 2515000. 2888000. 2995000. 2995000. SEASIA LABOR PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH RATE (UNITS=ANNUAL RATE) AND BASE GNP (UNITS=MILLIONS 1975 US DOLLARS) LABOR BASE PRODUCTIVITY GNP ------------ -------- 0.017 1519890. USA 0.017 1817860. WEUR&CAN 0.017 586400. JANZ 0.017 966400. EUSSR 0.029 323600. ASENP 0.029 138410. MIDEAST 0.029 154690. AFR 0.029 315490. LA 0.029 233620. SEASIA REFINERY COEFFICIENTS (GIJ AND HIJ) "GIJ" IS A CONVERSION EFFICIENCY, THE RATIO OF JOULES OF PRIMARY ENERGY IN TO JOULES OF ENERGY PRODUCT OUT (EXCLUSIVE OF FUELS USED AS ENERGY BY THE REFINERY). IT IS APPROXIMATED AS 1. "HIJ" IS A MARK-UP COST, ACCOUNTING FOR COST OF REFINING AND DISTRIBUTING ENERGY PRODUCTS. OIL GAS COAL GIJ HIJ GIJ HIJ GIJ HIJ 1.00 1.425 1.00 .3487 1.00 .2600 ELECTRICITY GENERATION COEFFICIENTS (GUI, HUIL, AND RUI) "GUI" IS A GENERATION EFFICIENCY COEFFICIENT -- THE RATIO OF JOULES OF ENERGY IN TO JOULES OF ELECTRICITY OUT. BY DEFINITION, GUI=1 FOR NUCLEAR, HYDRO, AND SOLAR. "HUIL" REFLECTS NONENERGY COSTS IN 1975 DOLLARS PER GJ. "RUI" IS A LOGIT SUBSTITUTION PARAMETER GOVERNING THE RESPONSE OF UTILITIES TO PRICE INCREASES FOR A GIVEN TECHNOLOGY -- HYDRO ENTERS AS A FIXED AMOUNT. FUEL PARAMETER OIL GAS COAL NUCLEAR SOLAR HYDRO 3.658 3.658 3.325 1.097 1.097 1.097 GUI 4.5330 4.5052 6.8660 1.7000 1.7000 1.7000 HUIL L=1 4.5330 4.5052 6.8660 1.7000 1.7000 1.7000 HUIL L=2 4.5330 4.5052 6.8660 1.7000 1.7000 1.7000 HUIL L=3 4.5330 4.5052 5.8630 1.7000 1.7000 1.7000 HUIL L=4 4.5330 4.5052 5.8630 1.7000 1.7000 1.7000 HUIL L=5 4.5330 4.5052 5.8630 1.7000 1.7000 1.7000 HUIL L=6 4.5330 4.5052 5.8630 1.7000 1.7000 1.7000 HUIL L=7 4.5330 4.5052 5.8630 1.7000 1.7000 1.7000 HUIL L=8 4.5330 4.5052 5.8630 1.7000 1.7000 1.7000 HUIL L=9 -3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -3.00 RUI PAUIL -- ELECTRICITY GENERATION COEFFICIENTS (PAUIL IS A MULTIPLICATIVE FACTOR WHICH ADJUSTS THE REFINED FOSSILE FUEL PRICE TO ACCOUNT FOR DIFFERENT FUEL TYPE (E.G. RESIDUAL US GASOLINE) AND DISTRIBUTION COSTS.) FUEL LIQUID GAS SOLID REGION 0.4850 0.7330 1.00 US 0.5747 0.6195 0.8293 WEUR+CAN 0.5243 0.9595 1.00 OECD PAC 0.4000 1.00 1.00 EUSSR 0.4000 1.00 1.00 ACENP 1.0595 1.00 1.00 MIDEAST 0.4185 1.00 1.00 AFRICA 0.4013 1.00 1.00 L AMER 0.6059 1.00 1.00 S&E ASIA BSUILM: ELECTRIC UTILITY FUEL SHARE WEIGHTS, BY PERIOD, FUEL AND REGION 1975 OIL GAS COAL NUCLEAR SOLAR REGION 0.0915 0.0274 0.2000 0.0346 0.0253 US 0.1680 0.0694 0.2000 0.0192 0.0172 WEUR+CAN 0.1937 0.2000 0.0458 0.0082 0.0056 OECD PAC 0.1157 0.0565 0.2000 0.0060 0.0060 EUSSR 0.0547 0.0074 0.2000 0.0000 0.0011 ACENP 0.2000 0.0408 0.0000 0.0001 0.0000 MIDEAST 0.1851 0.0128 0.2000 0.0000 0.0009 AFRICA 0.2000 0.0453 0.0319 0.0080 0.0061 L AMER 0.1158 0.0007 0.2000 0.0039 0.0036 S&E ASIA BSUILM: YEAR 2000 OIL GAS COAL NUCLEAR SOLAR REGION 0.0181 0.0288 0.2000 0.0702 0.0651 US 0.1403 0.0542 0.2000 0.0718 0.0458 WEUR+CAN 0.2000 0.0667 0.1178 0.0433 0.0347 OECD PAC 0.2000 0.1359 0.2000 0.0373 0.0370 EUSSR 0.1346 0.0082 0.2000 0.0161 0.0062 ACENP 0.2000 0.1102 0.0200 0.0045 0.0045 MIDEAST 0.2000 0.0276 0.2000 0.0148 0.0134 AFRICA 0.2000 0.1174 0.0951 0.0428 0.0376 L AMER 0.1600 0.0118 0.2000 0.0291 0.0280 S&E ASIA BSUILM: YEAR 2025 OIL GAS COAL NUCLEAR SOLAR REGION 0.0850 0.1274 0.2000 0.1754 0.2000 US 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 WEUR+CAN 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 OECD PAC 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 EUSSR 0.2000 0.1000 0.2000 0.2000 0.0353 ACENP 0.2000 0.2000 0.1000 0.2000 0.2000 MIDEAST 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 AFRICA 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 L AMER 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 S&E ASIA BSUILM: YEAR 2050 OIL GAS COAL NUCLEAR SOLAR REGION 0.1275 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 US 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 WEUR+CAN 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 OECD PAC 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 EUSSR 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 ACENP 0.2000 0.2000 0.1000 0.2000 0.2000 MIDEAST 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 AFR 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 L AMER 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 S&E ASIA BSUILM: YEAR 2075 OIL GAS COAL NUCLEAR SOLAR REGION 0.1275 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 US 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 WEUR+CAN 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 OECD PAC 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 EUSSR 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 ACENP 0.2000 0.2000 0.1000 0.2000 0.2000 MIDEAST 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 AFR 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 L AMER 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 S&E ASIA BSUILM: YEAR 2100 OIL GAS COAL NUCLEAR SOLAR REGION 0.1275 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 US 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 WEUR+CAN 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 OECD PAC 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 EUSSR 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 ACENP 0.2000 0.2000 0.1000 0.2000 0.2000 MIDEAST 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 AFR 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 L AMER 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 0.2000 S&E ASIA TKL--RATE OF END-USE ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENT BY SECTOR AND REGION UNITS=NONE OECD REGIONS RES/COM INDUSTRY TRANSPORT REGION 0.01 0.01 0.01 1=USA 0.01 0.01 0.01 2=WEUR+CAN 0.01 0.01 0.01 3=OECD PAC NON-OECD REGIONS ALL SECTORS REGION 0.01 4=EUSSR 0.01 5=ACENP 0.01 6=MIDEAST 0.01 7=AFRICA 0.01 8=L AMER 0.01 9=S&E ASIA RIGISL--RESOURCES BY GRADE AND REGION (UNITS=EXAJOULES) GRADE: IG=1 CONV OIL CONV GAS COAL UNCON OIL NUCLEAR REGION 77. 670. 7964. 4691. 109. 1=USA 100. 434. 2459. 2142. 200. 2=WEUR+CAN 3. 70. 1891. 1564. 97. 3=OECD PAC 190. 1324. 13536. 4294. 267. 4=EUSSR 62. 178. 4054. 2147. 128. 5=ACENP 400. 1054. 2. 537. 2. 6=MIDEAST 180. 346. 607. 6411. 442. 7=AFRICA 159. 366. 121. 3205. 1010. 8=L AMER 29. 160. 365. 1610. 21. 9=S&E ASIA GRADE: IG=2 CONV OIL CONV GAS COAL UNCON OIL NUCLEAR REGION 221. 227. 9763. 9170. 584. 1=USA 290. 179. 3015. 4188. 1068. 2=WEUR+CAN 9. 29. 2318. 3057. 518. 3=OECD PAC 550. 547. 16592. 8397. 1426. 4=EUSSR 151. 73. 4970. 4197. 682. 5=ACENP 1000. 435. 2. 1049. 12. 6=MIDEAST 436. 142. 745. 12532. 2356. 7=AFRICA 384. 151. 148. 6266. 5388. 8=L AMER 70. 66. 447. 3148. 113. 9=S&E ASIA GRADE: IG=3 CONV OIL CONV GAS COAL UNCON OIL NUCLEAR REGION 441. 510. 13874. 88173. 100000. 1=USA 577. 330. 4284. 40266. 100000. 2=WEUR+CAN 17. 53. 3294. 29391. 100000. 3=OECD PAC 1095. 1007. 23578. 80708. 100000. 4=EUSSR 267. 135. 7062. 40354. 100000. 5=ACENP 880. 802. 3. 10088. 100000. 6=MIDEAST 771. 263. 1058. 120503. 100000. 7=AFRICA 679. 279. 211. 60252. 100000. 8=L AMER 123. 121. 635. 30266. 100000. 9=S&E ASIA GRADE: IG=4 CONV OIL CONV GAS COAL UNCON OIL NUCLEAR REGION 373. 582. 19012. 264516. 100000. 1=USA 488. 377. 5871. 120797. 100000. 2=WEUR+CAN 14. 61. 4515. 88173. 100000. 3=OECD PAC 925. 1150. 32311. 242123. 100000. 4=EUSSR 204. 155. 9678. 121062. 100000. 5=ACENP 3650. 916. 4. 30266. 100000. 6=MIDEAST 591. 301. 1450. 361510. 100000. 7=AFRICA 520. 318. 289. 180755. 100000. 8=L AMER 94. 139. 871. 90797. 100000. 9=S&E ASIA GRADE: IG=5 CONV OIL CONV GAS COAL UNCON OIL NUCLEAR REGION 292. 0. 19012. 0. 0. 1=USA 382. 0. 5871. 0. 0. 2=WEUR+CAN 11. 0. 4515. 0. 0. 3=OECD PAC 725. 0. 32311. 0. 0. 4=EUSSR 154. 0. 9678. 0. 0. 5=ACENP 1460. 0. 4. 0. 0. 6=MIDEAST 1444. 0. 1450. 0. 0. 7=AFRICA 391. 0. 289. 0. 0. 8=L AMER 371. 0. 871. 0. 0. 9=S&E ASIA CIGIS--MINIMUM EXTRACTION COSTS BY GRADE AND FUEL FINAL COST IS THE MAXIMUM EXTRACTION COST AT RESOURCE EXHAUSTION (UNITS=1975 DOLLARS/GIGAJOULE) CONV OIL CONV GAS COAL UNCON OIL NUCLEAR GRADE 0.16 0.50 0.30 3.80 6.83 IG=1 0.82 1.50 0.40 7.60 15.20 IG=2 3.80 2.50 0.80 12.80 21.80 IG=3 5.10 3.60 1.60 25.60 22.00 IG=4 7.10 15.00 2.70 51.00 23.00 IG=5 12.30 16.00 5.30 52.00 24.00 FINAL VISL--ENVIRONMENTAL COST AMOUNTS BY REGION AND FUEL (UNITS=1975 DOLLARS/GIGAJOULE) CONV OIL CONV GAS COAL UNCON OIL NUCLEAR REGION 0.0 0.0 0.80 1.30 5.00 1=USA 0.0 0.0 0.80 1.30 5.00 2=WEUR+CAN 0.0 0.0 0.80 1.30 5.00 3=OECD PAC 0.0 0.0 0.80 0.90 5.00 4=EUSSR 0.0 0.0 0.80 0.90 5.00 5=ACENP 0.0 0.0 0.80 0.90 5.00 6=MIDEAST 0.0 0.0 0.80 0.90 5.00 7=AFRICA 0.0 0.0 0.80 0.90 5.00 8=L AMER 0.0 0.0 0.80 0.90 5.00 9=S&E ASIA RIL--PRICE ELASTICITY OF SUPPLY, EVALUATED PREVIOUS PRICE (BY SUPPLY TYPE AND REGION) CONV OIL CONV GAS COAL UNCON OIL REGION 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1=USA 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2=WEUR+CAN 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3=OECD PAC 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4=EUSSR 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 5=ACENP 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 6=MIDEAST 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 7=AFRICA 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 8=L AMER 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 9=S&E ASIA STISL--RATE OF TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE BY SUPPLY TYPE AND REGION CONV OIL CONV GAS COAL UNCON OIL NUCLEAR REGION 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 1=USA 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 2=WEUR+CAN 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 3=OECD PAC 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 4=EUSSR 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 5=ACENP 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 6=MIDEAST 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 7=AFRICA 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 8=L AMER 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 9=S&E ASIA BESIL--MINIMUM LEVEL OF SHORT-TERM SUPPLY BY TYPE AND REGION CONV OIL CONV GAS COAL UNCON OIL NUCLEAR REGION 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1=USA 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 2=WEUR+CAN 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 3=OECD PAC 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 4=EUSSR 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 5=ACENP 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 6=MIDEAST 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 7=AFRICA 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 8=L AMER 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 9=S&E ASIA ESFIL--INITIAL ESTIMATE OF ENERGY SUPPLY BY FUEL, REGION, AND PERIOD (UNITS=EXAJOULES/YR) YEAR=1975 CONV OIL CONV GAS COAL UNCON OIL NUCLEAR REGION 20.41 24.30 17.18 0.0 0.62 1=USA 4.77 10.22 9.60 0.0 0.58 2=WEUR+CAN 0.96 0.31 2.67 0.0 0.09 3=OECD PAC 22.77 12.17 25.77 0.0 0.07 4=EUSSR 3.23 0.35 15.01 0.0 0.00 5=ACENP 42.35 5.04 0.03 0.0 0.00 6=MIDEAST 10.59 2.30 2.18 0.0 0.00 7=AFRICA 9.92 3.72 0.39 0.0 0.01 8=L AMER 3.79 1.16 2.68 0.0 0.01 9=S&E ASIA GAS FLARING "FLRL1" IS THE FLARING RATE IN 1975, "FLRL2" IS THE ULTIMATE FLARING RATE, AND "FLRL3" IS THE NUMBER OF YEARS TO REACH "FLRL2." THE MODEL EXPONENTIALLY INTERPOLATES BETWEEN THE RATES. FLRL1 FLRL2 FLRL3 REGION .080 .025 25.0 US .070 .025 25.0 WEUR+CAN .030 .025 25.0 JANZ .020 .015 25.0 EUSSR .107 .035 50.0 ACENP .687 .023 50.0 MIDEAST .753 .080 50.0 AFR .499 .080 50.0 LA .380 .045 50.0 SEASIA RENEWABLE RESOURCE CONSTRAINED TECHNOLOGIES PARAMETERS INCLUDE LOGISTICS FUNCTION PARAMETERS, COST, AND SHARE DATA. "HYDRO1L" ORIENTS THE PRODUCTION PATH IN TIME; "HYDRO2L" DETERMINES ITS SHAPE; "HYDRO3L" IS THE RESOURCE AMOUNT IN EJ; "HYDRO4L" IS PRODUCTION PRICE IN 1975 DOLLARS PER GJ; AND "HYDRO5L" IS THE ELECTRICITY SHARE OF HYDRO. HYDRO1L HYDRO2L HYDRO3L HYDRO4L HYDRO5L REGION 0.42040 0.06505 1.83 4.03 0.15297 US 0.38610 0.07198 3.51 4.03 0.34268 WEUR+CAN 0.24160 0.06884 0.77 4.03 0.20997 JANZ -1.99788 0.09314 4.97 4.03 0.11591 EUSSR -3.20686 0.09000 5.76 4.03 0.34665 ACENP -3.64180 0.15488 0.61 4.03 0.09685 MIDEAST -3.97006 0.09969 7.31 4.03 0.28723 AFR -2.52383 0.09701 6.48 4.03 0.56237 LA -2.77226 0.10060 4.17 4.03 0.26934 SEASIA SOLAR COSTS: CSLT(L,1) = PRODUCTION COST IN 1975 CSLT(L,2) = FINAL PRODUCTION COSTS CSLT(L,3) = YEARS TO REACH FINAL PRODUCTION COSTS CSLT1 CSLT2 CSLT3 REGION 200.60 14.85 50.00 US 402.40 14.85 50.00 WEUR+CAN 281.60 14.85 50.00 OECD PAC 402.40 14.85 50.00 EUSSR 321.40 14.85 50.00 ACENP 128.60 14.85 50.00 MIDEAST 144.00 14.85 50.00 AFR 321.40 14.85 50.00 LA 200.60 14.85 50.00 SEASIA SYNFUEL PARAMETERS (PARAMETERS INCLUDE A CONVERSION EFFICIENCY (GCI), ADD ON COSTS (HCILT) AND AN ELASTICITY CONTROL PARAMETER (RCI). HCILT1 IS THE INITIAL VALUE, HCILT2 THE FINAL VALUE, AND HCILT3 THE NUMBER OF YEARS TO REACH THE FINAL VALUE. THE MODEL EXPONENTIALLY INTERPOLATES FOR INTERMEDIATE YEARS) SYNCRUDE SYNGAS HCILT1 HCILT2 HCILT3 HCILT1 HCILT2 HCILT3 REGION 100.00 4.55 25. 100. 3.30 25. US 100.00 4.55 25. 100. 3.30 25. WEUR+CAN 100.00 4.55 25. 100. 3.30 25. OECD PAC 100.00 4.55 25. 100. 3.30 25. EUSSR 100.00 4.55 50. 100. 3.30 50. ACENP 100.00 4.55 100. 100. 3.30 100. MIDEAST 12.54 4.55 25. 100. 3.30 25. AFRICA 12.54 4.55 25. 100. 3.30 25. L AMER 100.00 4.55 50. 100. 3.30 50. S&E ASIA SYNCRUDE GCI = 1.50 SYNGAS GCI = 1.50 SYNCRUDE RCI = -6.00 SYNGAS RCI = -6.00 ENERGY SERVICE INPUT-OUTPUT COEFFICIENTS TABLE 1. ENERGY TRANSFORMATION BY SECTOR (GJK, GJ) OIL GAS COAL ELECTRIC SECTOR VARIABLE 1.67 1.54 2.5 .86 RES/COM GJK,J=1,NJ K=1 1.92 1.90 2.0 1.05 INDUSTRY GJK,J=1,NJ K=2 3.0 3.0 3.33 1.05 TRANSPORT GJK,J=1,NJ K=3 2.0 1.7 2.05 0.95 AGGREGATE GJ, J=1,NJ TABLE 2. NON-ENERGY I-O COEFFICIENTS BY SECTOR (HJK, HJ) OIL GAS COAL ELECTRIC SECTOR VARIABLE 4.98 3.24 2.87 3.41 RES/COM HJK,J=1,NJ K=1 .41 .32 .80 1.16 INDUSTRY HJK,J=1,NJ K=2 98.88 200.00 200.00 153.17 TRANSPORT HJK,J=1,NJ K=3 2.10 2.03 1.18 1.15 AGGREGATE HJ, J=1,NJ BASE ENERGY SERVICE CONSUMPTION WEIGHTS BY FUEL BY SECTOR BY REGION SJKLP (UNITS=UNDIMENTIONED) AND BSKL (UNITS=EXAJOULES) OIL GAS COAL ELECTRIC BSKL SECTOR REGION 0.185 0.683 0.011 0.379 15.2377 RES/COM USA 0.091 0.345 0.129 0.145 9.7881 INDUSTRY USA 1.369 0.000 0.000 0.001 6.6411 TRANSPORT USA 0.359 0.122 0.112 0.372 11.1476 RES/COM WEUR+CAN 0.260 0.065 0.131 0.212 9.4047 INDUSTRY WEUR+CAN 1.962 0.000 0.003 0.028 3.3974 TRANSPORT WEUR+CAN 0.443 0.088 0.207 0.462 2.0876 RES/COM OECD PAC 0.224 0.032 0.267 0.263 3.9391 INDUSTRY OECD PAC 2.672 0.000 0.001 0.050 0.8941 TRANSPORT OECD PAC 0.273 0.194 0.336 0.197 26.3832 AGGREGATE USSR 0.156 0.005 0.764 0.074 9.1210 AGGREGATE CHINA 0.687 0.212 0.009 0.093 1.8153 AGGREGATE MIDEAST 0.437 0.009 0.340 0.214 2.2834 AGGREGATE AFRICA 0.635 0.148 0.044 0.174 5.0414 AGGREGATE L AMER 0.516 0.068 0.172 0.244 4.2498 AGGREGATE S&E ASIA BSJKLM -- LOGIT FUNCTION SCALE PARAMETERS (UNITS BSJKLM=UNDIMENSIONED) YEAR = 1975 OIL GAS COAL ELECTRIC SECTOR REGION 0.3585 0.0548 0.0008 0.5858 RES/COM USA 0.1871 0.0124 0.0047 0.7958 INDUSTRY USA 0.7030 0.0000 0.0004 0.2966 TRANSPORT USA 0.5492 0.0814 0.0118 0.3577 RES/COM WEUR+CAN 0.3184 0.0831 0.0122 0.5863 INDUSTRY WEUR+CAN 0.0736 0.0000 0.5008 0.4256 TRANSPORT WEUR+CAN 0.4533 0.0622 0.0058 0.4787 RES/COM OECD PAC 0.1948 0.0420 0.0091 0.7541 INDUSTRY OECD PAC 0.0299 0.0000 0.5779 0.3922 TRANSPORT OECD PAC 0.4795 0.0380 0.0339 0.4486 AGGREGATE USSR 0.5764 0.0018 0.1465 0.2753 AGGREGATE CHINA 0.6032 0.0451 0.0025 0.3492 AGGREGATE MIDEAST 0.7670 0.0004 0.0213 0.2113 AGGREGATE AFRICA 0.7910 0.0186 0.0054 0.1850 AGGREGATE L AMER 0.5508 0.0089 0.0260 0.4143 AGGREGATE S&E ASIA BSJKLM -- LOGIT FUNCTION SCALE PARAMETERS (UNITS BSJKLM=UNDIMENSIONED) YEAR = 2000 OIL GAS COAL ELECTRIC SECTOR REGION 0.2600 0.0548 0.0008 0.5858 RES/COM USA 0.1871 0.0207 0.0047 0.7958 INDUSTRY USA 0.7030 0.0000 0.0004 0.2966 TRANSPORT USA 0.5492 0.0814 0.0118 0.3577 RES/COM WEUR+CAN 0.3184 0.0831 0.0122 0.5863 INDUSTRY WEUR+CAN 0.0736 0.0000 0.5008 0.4256 TRANSPORT WEUR+CAN 0.4533 0.0622 0.0058 0.4787 RES/COM OECD PAC 0.1948 0.0420 0.0091 0.7541 INDUSTRY OECD PAC 0.0299 0.0000 0.5779 0.3922 TRANSPORT OECD PAC 0.4795 0.0790 0.0339 0.4486 AGGREGATE USSR 0.5200 0.0200 0.1039 0.2753 AGGREGATE CHINA 0.6032 0.0451 0.0025 0.3492 AGGREGATE MIDEAST 0.6700 0.0287 0.0213 0.2800 AGGREGATE AFRICA 0.6001 0.0423 0.0054 0.2117 AGGREGATE L AMER 0.6500 0.0187 0.0260 0.4400 AGGREGATE S&E ASIA BSJKLM -- LOGIT FUNCTION SCALE PARAMETERS (UNITS BSJKLM=UNDIMENSIONED) YEAR = 2025 OIL GAS COAL ELECTRIC SECTOR REGION 0.2600 0.0548 0.0008 0.5858 RES/COM USA 0.1871 0.0207 0.0047 0.7958 INDUSTRY USA 0.7030 0.0000 0.0004 0.2966 TRANSPORT USA 0.5492 0.0814 0.0118 0.3577 RES/COM WEUR+CAN 0.3184 0.0831 0.0122 0.5863 INDUSTRY WEUR+CAN 0.0736 0.0000 0.5008 0.4256 TRANSPORT WEUR+CAN 0.4533 0.0622 0.0058 0.4787 RES/COM OECD PAC 0.1948 0.0420 0.0091 0.7541 INDUSTRY OECD PAC 0.0299 0.0000 0.5779 0.3922 TRANSPORT OECD PAC 0.4795 0.1125 0.0198 0.4486 AGGREGATE USSR 0.5764 0.0400 0.0706 0.2753 AGGREGATE CHINA 0.6032 0.0451 0.0025 0.3492 AGGREGATE MIDEAST 0.5800 0.0487 0.0213 0.3400 AGGREGATE AFRICA 0.6001 0.0423 0.0054 0.2383 AGGREGATE L AMER 0.4500 0.0273 0.0260 0.4500 AGGREGATE S&E ASIA BSJKLM -- LOGIT FUNCTION SCALE PARAMETERS (UNITS BSJKLM=UNDIMENSIONED) YEAR = 2050 OIL GAS COAL ELECTRIC SECTOR REGION 0.2600 0.0548 0.0008 0.5858 RES/COM USA 0.1871 0.0207 0.0047 0.7958 INDUSTRY USA 0.7030 0.0000 0.0004 0.2966 TRANSPORT USA 0.5492 0.0814 0.0118 0.3577 RES/COM WEUR+CAN 0.3184 0.0831 0.0122 0.5863 INDUSTRY WEUR+CAN 0.0736 0.0000 0.5008 0.4256 TRANSPORT WEUR+CAN 0.4533 0.0622 0.0058 0.4787 RES/COM OECD PAC 0.1948 0.0420 0.0091 0.7541 INDUSTRY OECD PAC 0.0299 0.0000 0.5779 0.3922 TRANSPORT OECD PAC 0.4795 0.1425 0.0128 0.4486 AGGREGATE USSR 0.4323 0.0800 0.0347 0.2753 AGGREGATE CHINA 0.6032 0.0451 0.0025 0.3492 AGGREGATE MIDEAST 0.4800 0.0787 0.0213 0.4000 AGGREGATE AFRICA 0.6001 0.0423 0.0054 0.2650 AGGREGATE L AMER 0.3900 0.0374 0.0260 0.4600 AGGREGATE S&E ASIA BSJKLM -- LOGIT FUNCTION SCALE PARAMETERS (UNITS BSJKLM=UNDIMENSIONED) YEAR = 2075 OIL GAS COAL ELECTRIC SECTOR REGION 0.2600 0.0548 0.0008 0.5858 RES/COM USA 0.1871 0.0207 0.0047 0.7958 INDUSTRY USA 0.7030 0.0000 0.0004 0.2966 TRANSPORT USA 0.5492 0.0814 0.0118 0.3577 RES/COM WEUR+CAN 0.3184 0.0831 0.0122 0.5863 INDUSTRY WEUR+CAN 0.0736 0.0000 0.5008 0.4256 TRANSPORT WEUR+CAN 0.4533 0.0622 0.0058 0.4787 RES/COM OECD PAC 0.1948 0.0420 0.0091 0.7541 INDUSTRY OECD PAC 0.0299 0.0000 0.5779 0.3922 TRANSPORT OECD PAC 0.4795 0.1425 0.0128 0.4486 AGGREGATE USSR 0.4323 0.0800 0.0347 0.2753 AGGREGATE CHINA 0.6032 0.0451 0.0025 0.3492 AGGREGATE MIDEAST 0.4800 0.0787 0.0213 0.4000 AGGREGATE AFRICA 0.6001 0.0423 0.0054 0.2650 AGGREGATE L AMER 0.3900 0.0374 0.0260 0.4600 AGGREGATE S&E ASIA BSJKLM -- LOGIT FUNCTION SCALE PARAMETERS (UNITS BSJKLM=UNDIMENSIONED) YEAR = 2100 OIL GAS COAL ELECTRIC SECTOR REGION 0.2600 0.0548 0.0008 0.5858 RES/COM USA 0.1871 0.0207 0.0047 0.7958 INDUSTRY USA 0.7030 0.0000 0.0004 0.2966 TRANSPORT USA 0.5492 0.0814 0.0118 0.3577 RES/COM WEUR+CAN 0.3184 0.0831 0.0122 0.5863 INDUSTRY WEUR+CAN 0.0736 0.0000 0.5008 0.4256 TRANSPORT WEUR+CAN 0.4533 0.0622 0.0058 0.4787 RES/COM OECD PAC 0.1948 0.0420 0.0091 0.7541 INDUSTRY OECD PAC 0.0299 0.0000 0.5779 0.3922 TRANSPORT OECD PAC 0.4795 0.1425 0.0128 0.4486 AGGREGATE USSR 0.4323 0.0800 0.0347 0.2753 AGGREGATE CHINA 0.6032 0.0451 0.0025 0.3492 AGGREGATE MIDEAST 0.4800 0.0787 0.0213 0.4000 AGGREGATE AFRICA 0.6001 0.0423 0.0054 0.2650 AGGREGATE L AMER 0.3900 0.0374 0.0260 0.4600 AGGREGATE S&E ASIA PRICE ELASTICITY CONTROL PARAMETERS AGG OIL GAS COAL ELECTRIC SECTOR RPKK RPJK -0.7 -3.0 -3.0 -3.0 -3.0 RES/COM RPKK,JK,K=1 -0.7 -3.0 -3.0 -3.0 -3.0 INDUSTRY RPKK,JK,K=2 -0.7 -13.0 -13.0 -13.0 -13.0 TRANSPORT RPKK,JK,K=3 RPK RPJ -0.7 -2.5 -2.5 -2.5 -2.5 AGGREGATE RPK,RPJ INCOME ELASTICITY CONTROL PARAMETERS AGG OIL GAS COAL ELECTRIC SECTOR RYKK RYJK 1.00 -0.10 0.30 -0.20 0.10 RES/COM RYKK,JK,K=1 1.000 0.00 0.10 -0.30 0.30 INDUSTRY RYKK,JK,K=2 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 TRANSPORT RYKK,JK,K=3 RYJ -0.10 0.10 -0.20 0.10 RYJ,J=1,4 RYKLT--INCOME ELASTICITY FOR THE EUSSR (L=4) AND OTHER LDC'S (L>4) INPUT IS THE INITIAL VALUE IN 1975. THE PROGRAM INTERPOLATES OVER A 75 YEAR PERIOD TO A FINAL VALUE 0.8 TIMES THE ORIGINAL FOR THE EUSSR AND 0.71 TIMES THE ORIGINAL FOR OTHER LDC'S 1.25 EUSSR(L=4) 1.40 LDC'S(L>4) RYL--ENERGY-GNP FEEDBACK ELASTICITY, BY REGION -0.15 1=USA -0.15 2=WEUR+CAN -0.15 3=OECD PAC -0.15 4=EUSSR -0.20 5=ACENP 0.05 6=MIDEAST -0.20 7=AFRICA -0.20 8=L AMER -0.20 9=S&E ASIA COI -- CARBON RELEASE BY SOURCE (IN TERAGRAMS OF CARBON PER EXAJOULE) OIL GAS COAL COAL LIQ- COAL GAS- SHALE OIL BURNUP BURNUP BURNUP UIFACTION IFICATION PRODUCTION BIOMASS 19.7 13.8 23.9 18.9 26.9 27.9 0.0 PROPORTION OF FLARED GAS BURNED (SBURNLT T=1 IS INITIAL (1975) SHARE, T=2 IS ULTIMATE SHARE, T=3 IS NUMBER OF YEARS TO SBURNL2. PROPORTION OF BACKSTOP FUEL FROM CARBONATE ROCK (SHALET, T=1,2,3) HAS IDENTICAL INTERPRETATION. SBURNL1 SBURNL2 SBURNL3 SHALE1 SHALE2 SHALE3 REGION 0.11 0.20 25.0 0.01 0.99 70.0 US 0.25 0.20 25.0 0.01 0.45 70.0 WEUR+CAN 0.80 0.20 25.0 0.01 0.99 70.0 OECD PAC 0.80 0.28 25.0 0.01 0.90 70.0 EUSSR 0.80 0.59 50.0 0.01 0.25 70.0 ACENP 0.75 0.44 50.0 0.01 0.25 70.0 MIDEAST 0.60 0.28 50.0 0.01 0.25 70.0 AFRICA 0.29 0.28 50.0 0.01 0.25 70.0 L AMER 0.71 0.47 50.0 0.01 0.25 70.0 S&E ASIA FEEDSTOCK USES OF FOSSIL FUELS (SFEDIL) -- SHARE OF EACH FOSSIL FUEL USED AS A FEEDSTOCK. OIL GAS COAL REGION 0.045 0.029 0.007 US 0.072 0.029 0.007 WEUR+CAN 0.092 0.029 0.007 OECD PAC 0.091 0.029 0.007 EUSSR 0.070 0.029 0.007 ACENP 0.141 0.029 0.007 MIDEAST 0.030 0.029 0.007 AFRICA 0.068 0.029 0.007 L AMER 0.082 0.029 0.007 S&E ASIA BIOMASS COEFFICIENTS: THE SUPPLY FUNCTION FOR BIOMASS INCLUDES WASTE AND "ENERGY FARMS" AS SEPARATE TECHNOLOGIES. THE CODED FUNCTIONS ARE REPRESENTED BY LINEAR SEGMENTS. THE JPARAMETERS ARE CRITICAL POINTS FOR THE FUNCTION AND REGIONAL RESOURCES. BIOPSM ARE CRITICAL PRICE/SHARE COMBINATIONS. BIOLM ARE MAXIMUM RESOURCE AMOUNTS -- WASTE IS DEPENDENT ON ECONOMIC ACTIVITY. THE WASTE TOTAL IS BASED ON 1975 ECONOMIC ACTIVITY (PRICE--1975 $/GJ, QUANTITY--EJ) WASTE (BIOPSM) ENERGY FARMS (BIOPSM) PRICE SHARE PRICE SHARE 0.1705 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.60 0.3 2.1 0.0 4.60 0.8 2.6 0.2 5.60 0.8 4.6 0.8 WASTE ENERGY FARMS (BIOLM) (BIOLM) REGION 5.48 82.29 US 7.95 00.00 WEUR+CAN 2.71 13.19 OECD PAC 8.73 98.43 EUSSR 7.04 0.00 ACENP 1.00 0.00 MIDEAST 5.71 173.44 AFRICA 7.81 225.45 L AMER 10.40 0.00 S&E ASIA INCOME ELASTICITY OF BIOMASS SUPPLY 0.50 RYSHT SDOCLM-SHARE OF LANDFILLED WASTE WHICH IS DEGRADABLE ORGANIC CARBON 1975 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 REGION 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 USA 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 WEUR & CAN 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 OECD PAC 0.175 0.175 0.175 0.175 0.175 0.175 EUSSR 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 ACENPAC 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 MIDEAST 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 AFRICA 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 L AMERICA 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 S&E ASIA CHI--METHANE EMISSION COEFFICIENTS; BY SOURCE GASP GGASV GAST IBIO ILDF 17.25 17.25 17.25 0.664 0.5 CHILM(1)--COAL 1975 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 REGION 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 USA 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 CANADA&EUR 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 JANZ 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 EUSSR 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 ACENPAC 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 MIDEAST 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 AFRICA 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 L AMERICA 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 0.222 S&E ASIA CHILM(2)--OIL (AUTOEXHAUST) 1975 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 REGION 0.0329 0.0329 0.0329 0.0329 0.0329 0.0329 USA 0.0452 0.0452 0.0452 0.0452 0.0452 0.0452 CANADA&WEUR 0.0452 0.0452 0.0452 0.0452 0.0452 0.0452 JANZ 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 EUSSR 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 ACENPAC 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 MIDEAST 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 AFRICA 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 L AMERICA 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 0.0576 S&E ASIA SAXLM--SHARE OF ECONOMIC SECTOR CONTRIBUTING TO AUTOMOTIVE EXHAUST 1975 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 REGION 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 USA 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 WEUR & CAN 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 OECD PAC 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 EUSSR 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 ACENPAC 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 MIDEAST 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 AFRICA 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 L AMERICA 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 S&E ASIA SGAST--SHARE OF GAS LOST IN TRANSMISSION 1975 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 USA 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 WEUR 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 OECD PAC 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 EUSSR 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 ACENPAC 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 MIDEAST 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 AFRICA 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 L AMERICA 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 0.015 S&E ASIA SGASP--SHARE OF GAS LOST IN PRODUCTION 1975 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 USA 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 WEUR 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 OECD PAC 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 EUSSR 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 ACENPAC 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 MIDEAST 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 AFRICA 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 L AMERICA 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 S&E ASIA SLDFLM--SHARE OF WASTE RESIDUE TO LANDFILL 1975 2000 2025 2050 2075 2100 REGION 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 USA 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 WEUR 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 OECD PAC 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 EUSSR 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 ACENPAC 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 MIDEAST 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 AFRICA 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 L AMERICA 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 S&E ASIA RPBIOL--PRICE ELASTICITY OF TRADITIONAL BIOMASS 0.25 USA 0.25 WEUR 0.25 OECD PAC 0.25 EUSSR 0.25 ACENPAC 0.25 MIDEAST 0.25 AFRICA 0.25 L AMERICA 0.25 S&E ASIA CLDF--CONVERSION COEFFICIENT FOR LANDFILL ENERGY TO MASS 107.589 RYBIOL--INCOME ELASTICITY OF TRADITIONAL BIOMASS -0.25 USA -0.25 WEUR -0.25 OECD PAC -0.25 EUSSR -0.25 ACENPAC -0.25 MIDEAST -0.25 AFRICA -0.25 L AMERICA -0.25 S&E ASIA EBIOL--INITIAL STOCK OF TRADITIONAL BIOMASS 0.117 USA 0.473 WEUR 0.021 OECD PAC 0.598 EUSSR 0.996 ACENPAC 0.018 MIDEAST 1.778 AFRICA 1.320 L AMERICA 2.448 S&E ASIA SWASL--SHARE OF WASTE TO LANDFILL 0.335 USA 0.193 WEUR 0.179 OECD PAC 0.129 EUSSR 0.049 ACENPAC 0.030 MIDEAST 0.026 AFRICA 0.015 L AMERICA 0.041 S&E ASIA SVENTL--SHARE OF NONMARKETED GAS VENTED:INITIAL,FINAL,TIME REQUIRED SVENTL(1) SVENTL(2) SVENTL(3) 0.03 0.02 25 USA 0.06 0.02 25 WEUR 0.20 0.02 25 OECD PAC 0.20 0.01 25 EUSSR 0.20 0.18 50 ACENPAC 0.19 0.11 50 MIDEAST 0.15 0.14 50 AFRICA 0.07 0.14 50 L AMERICA 0.18 0.12 50 S&E ASIA