7 309 3 Source: M. Heimann, J. Kaduk, K. Kurz, and E. Maier-Reimer Max Planck Institute for Meteorology Hamburg, Germany Model H: Stabilization scenarios - cumulative flux to atmosphere, fossil (Gt C/yr) YEAR S450 S650 1991.0 6.1 6.1 1992.0 12.2 12.3 1993.0 18.3 18.5 1994.0 24.6 24.9 1995.0 30.9 31.4 1996.0 37.2 38.1 1997.0 43.6 44.8 1998.0 50.1 51.6 1999.0 56.6 58.6 2000.0 63.1 65.7 2001.0 69.7 72.8 2002.0 76.3 80.0 2003.0 82.8 87.2 2004.0 89.4 94.6 2005.0 95.9 101.9 2006.0 102.4 109.3 2007.0 108.9 116.8 2008.0 115.4 124.3 2009.0 121.8 131.8 2010.0 128.3 139.4 2011.0 134.7 147.1 2012.0 141.1 154.8 2013.0 147.4 162.5 2014.0 153.8 170.2 2015.0 160.1 178.0 2016.0 166.3 185.9 2017.0 172.6 193.7 2018.0 178.8 201.7 2019.0 185.0 209.6 2020.0 191.1 217.6 2021.0 197.2 225.5 2022.0 203.3 233.6 2023.0 209.3 241.6 2024.0 215.3 249.7 2025.0 221.2 257.8 2026.0 227.1 265.9 2027.0 233.0 274.1 2028.0 238.8 282.3 2029.0 244.6 290.5 2030.0 250.3 298.7 2031.0 256.0 307.0 2032.0 261.7 315.3 2033.0 267.4 323.6 2034.0 273.0 331.9 2035.0 278.5 340.3 2036.0 284.0 348.7 2037.0 289.5 357.1 2038.0 294.9 365.5 2039.0 300.3 373.9 2040.0 305.7 382.4 2041.0 311.0 390.8 2042.0 316.2 399.3 2043.0 321.4 407.8 2044.0 326.6 416.3 2045.0 331.8 424.8 2046.0 336.8 433.3 2047.0 341.9 441.9 2048.0 346.9 450.4 2049.0 351.8 459.0 2050.0 356.8 467.5 2051.0 361.6 476.1 2052.0 366.5 484.7 2053.0 371.3 493.4 2054.0 376.1 502.1 2055.0 380.9 510.8 2056.0 385.7 519.5 2057.0 390.4 528.2 2058.0 395.1 537.0 2059.0 399.8 545.8 2060.0 404.5 554.6 2061.0 409.1 563.5 2062.0 413.8 572.3 2063.0 418.3 581.2 2064.0 422.9 590.1 2065.0 427.4 599.0 2066.0 432.0 607.9 2067.0 436.4 616.8 2068.0 440.9 625.8 2069.0 445.3 634.7 2070.0 449.7 643.7 2071.0 454.1 652.6 2072.0 458.4 661.6 2073.0 462.7 670.6 2074.0 467.0 679.6 2075.0 471.3 688.7 2076.0 475.5 697.7 2077.0 479.7 706.7 2078.0 483.9 715.7 2079.0 488.0 724.7 2080.0 492.0 733.6 2081.0 496.0 742.5 2082.0 499.9 751.4 2083.0 503.8 760.3 2084.0 507.6 769.1 2085.0 511.4 777.9 2086.0 515.1 786.7 2087.0 518.7 795.5 2088.0 522.4 804.2 2089.0 525.9 812.9 2090.0 529.4 821.6 2091.0 532.9 830.3 2092.0 536.3 838.9 2093.0 539.7 847.5 2094.0 543.0 856.0 2095.0 546.3 864.6 2096.0 549.5 873.1 2097.0 552.6 881.5 2098.0 555.8 890.0 2099.0 558.8 898.4 2100.0 561.9 906.7 2101.0 564.9 915.1 2102.0 567.8 923.4 2103.0 570.8 931.6 2104.0 573.7 939.8 2105.0 576.6 948.0 2106.0 579.5 956.1 2107.0 582.3 964.1 2108.0 585.2 972.1 2109.0 588.0 980.1 2110.0 590.8 988.0 2111.0 593.6 995.9 2112.0 596.3 1003.8 2113.0 599.1 1011.5 2114.0 601.8 1019.3 2115.0 604.5 1027.0 2116.0 607.2 1034.6 2117.0 609.9 1042.2 2118.0 612.6 1049.7 2119.0 615.2 1057.2 2120.0 617.8 1064.7 2121.0 620.4 1072.0 2122.0 623.0 1079.4 2123.0 625.6 1086.7 2124.0 628.2 1093.9 2125.0 630.8 1101.1 2126.0 633.3 1108.2 2127.0 635.8 1115.3 2128.0 638.4 1122.3 2129.0 640.9 1129.3 2130.0 643.4 1136.2 2131.0 645.8 1143.1 2132.0 648.3 1149.9 2133.0 650.8 1156.7 2134.0 653.2 1163.4 2135.0 655.6 1170.0 2136.0 658.1 1176.6 2137.0 660.5 1183.1 2138.0 662.9 1189.6 2139.0 665.2 1196.1 2140.0 667.6 1202.4 2141.0 670.0 1208.8 2142.0 672.3 1215.0 2143.0 674.7 1221.2 2144.0 677.0 1227.4 2145.0 679.3 1233.5 2146.0 681.6 1239.5 2147.0 683.9 1245.5 2148.0 686.2 1251.4 2149.0 688.5 1257.3 2150.0 690.8 1263.1 2151.0 693.0 1268.9 2152.0 695.3 1274.6 2153.0 697.5 1280.3 2154.0 699.8 1285.8 2155.0 702.0 1291.4 2156.0 704.2 1296.9 2157.0 706.4 1302.3 2158.0 708.6 1307.7 2159.0 710.8 1313.0 2160.0 713.0 1318.2 2161.0 715.1 1323.4 2162.0 717.3 1328.6 2163.0 719.4 1333.7 2164.0 721.6 1338.7 2165.0 723.7 1343.7 2166.0 725.8 1348.6 2167.0 728.0 1353.5 2168.0 730.1 1358.3 2169.0 732.2 1363.1 2170.0 734.3 1367.8 2171.0 736.4 1372.4 2172.0 738.4 1377.0 2173.0 740.5 1381.6 2174.0 742.6 1386.1 2175.0 744.6 1390.5 2176.0 746.7 1394.9 2177.0 748.7 1399.2 2178.0 750.7 1403.5 2179.0 752.8 1407.7 2180.0 754.8 1411.9 2181.0 756.8 1416.0 2182.0 758.8 1420.1 2183.0 760.8 1424.1 2184.0 762.8 1428.1 2185.0 764.8 1432.0 2186.0 766.8 1435.8 2187.0 768.7 1439.7 2188.0 770.7 1443.4 2189.0 772.6 1447.1 2190.0 774.6 1450.8 2191.0 776.5 1454.4 2192.0 778.5 1458.0 2193.0 780.4 1461.5 2194.0 782.3 1465.0 2195.0 784.2 1468.4 2196.0 786.2 1471.7 2197.0 788.1 1475.1 2198.0 790.0 1478.3 2199.0 791.9 1481.6 2200.0 793.8 1484.7 2201.0 795.6 1487.9 2202.0 797.5 1491.0 2203.0 799.4 1494.1 2204.0 801.2 1497.3 2205.0 803.1 1500.3 2206.0 805.0 1503.4 2207.0 806.8 1506.5 2208.0 808.6 1509.6 2209.0 810.5 1512.6 2210.0 812.3 1515.6 2211.0 814.1 1518.7 2212.0 816.0 1521.7 2213.0 817.8 1524.7 2214.0 819.6 1527.7 2215.0 821.4 1530.7 2216.0 823.2 1533.6 2217.0 825.0 1536.6 2218.0 826.8 1539.5 2219.0 828.6 1542.5 2220.0 830.3 1545.4 2221.0 832.1 1548.3 2222.0 833.9 1551.3 2223.0 835.6 1554.2 2224.0 837.4 1557.1 2225.0 839.1 1559.9 2226.0 840.9 1562.8 2227.0 842.6 1565.7 2228.0 844.4 1568.5 2229.0 846.1 1571.4 2230.0 847.8 1574.2 2231.0 849.6 1577.0 2232.0 851.3 1579.9 2233.0 853.0 1582.7 2234.0 854.7 1585.5 2235.0 856.4 1588.3 2236.0 858.1 1591.1 2237.0 859.8 1593.8 2238.0 861.5 1596.6 2239.0 863.2 1599.4 2240.0 864.9 1602.1 2241.0 866.5 1604.9 2242.0 868.2 1607.6 2243.0 869.9 1610.3 2244.0 871.6 1613.1 2245.0 873.2 1615.8 2246.0 874.9 1618.5 2247.0 876.5 1621.2 2248.0 878.2 1623.9 2249.0 879.8 1626.6 2250.0 881.4 1629.3 2251.0 883.1 1631.9 2252.0 884.7 1634.6 2253.0 886.3 1637.2 2254.0 888.0 1639.9 2255.0 889.6 1642.5 2256.0 891.2 1645.2 2257.0 892.8 1647.8 2258.0 894.4 1650.4 2259.0 896.0 1653.0 2260.0 897.6 1655.7 2261.0 899.2 1658.3 2262.0 900.8 1660.9 2263.0 902.4 1663.4 2264.0 904.0 1666.0 2265.0 905.5 1668.6 2266.0 907.1 1671.2 2267.0 908.7 1673.7 2268.0 910.3 1676.3 2269.0 911.8 1678.8 2270.0 913.4 1681.4 2271.0 914.9 1683.9 2272.0 916.5 1686.5 2273.0 918.0 1689.0 2274.0 919.6 1691.5 2275.0 921.1 1694.0 2276.0 922.7 1696.5 2277.0 924.2 1699.0 2278.0 925.7 1701.5 2279.0 927.3 1704.0 2280.0 928.8 1706.5 2281.0 930.3 1709.0 2282.0 931.8 1711.5 2283.0 933.3 1713.9 2284.0 934.8 1716.4 2285.0 936.3 1718.9 2286.0 937.8 1721.3 2287.0 939.3 1723.8 2288.0 940.8 1726.2 2289.0 942.3 1728.6 2290.0 943.8 1731.1 2291.0 945.3 1733.5 2292.0 946.8 1735.9 2293.0 948.3 1738.3 2294.0 949.7 1740.7 2295.0 951.2 1743.1 2296.0 952.7 1745.5 2297.0 954.1 1747.9 2298.0 955.6 1750.3 2299.0 957.1 1752.7