7 110 8 Source: J. Alcamo and M. Krol RIVM (National Institute of Public Health and Environmental Protection) Bilthoven, The Netherlands Model R: Stabilization scenarios - cumulative flux to atmosphere, fossil (Pg C/yr) YEAR S450 S650 S350 S550 S750 DS450 DS550 1992.0 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 1993.0 11.7 11.7 11.5 11.6 11.7 11.6 11.7 1994.0 17.5 17.5 17.2 17.5 17.6 17.5 17.5 1995.0 23.4 23.5 22.9 23.3 23.7 23.3 23.5 1996.0 29.1 29.3 28.4 29.0 29.6 29.0 29.3 1997.0 34.6 35.0 33.6 34.6 35.4 34.6 35.0 1998.0 40.1 40.6 38.7 40.1 41.2 40.1 40.6 1999.0 45.5 46.3 43.8 45.6 47.1 45.6 46.3 2000.0 50.8 51.9 48.6 51.0 53.0 51.0 51.9 2001.0 56.2 57.7 53.6 56.6 59.0 56.6 57.7 2002.0 61.7 63.7 58.5 62.3 65.2 62.3 63.7 2003.0 67.2 69.7 63.4 68.0 71.6 68.0 69.7 2004.0 72.8 75.8 68.3 73.8 78.0 73.8 75.8 2005.0 78.3 82.0 73.1 79.6 84.6 79.6 82.0 2006.0 84.1 88.5 78.1 85.8 91.5 85.8 88.5 2007.0 90.0 95.1 83.2 92.0 98.7 92.0 95.1 2008.0 96.0 102.0 88.2 98.4 106.0 98.4 102.0 2009.0 102.1 108.9 93.4 104.9 113.5 104.9 108.9 2010.0 108.3 116.1 98.5 111.6 121.1 111.6 116.1 2011.0 114.4 123.2 103.5 118.2 128.9 118.2 123.2 2012.0 120.6 130.4 108.5 124.9 136.7 124.9 130.4 2013.0 126.7 137.7 113.4 131.6 144.7 131.5 137.7 2014.0 132.8 145.0 118.2 138.3 152.7 138.2 145.0 2015.0 138.9 152.4 122.9 145.0 160.8 144.9 152.3 2016.0 144.9 159.8 127.4 151.7 168.9 151.4 159.5 2017.0 150.8 167.1 131.9 158.3 177.0 157.9 166.7 2018.0 156.6 174.4 136.1 164.9 185.2 164.3 173.9 2019.0 162.5 181.8 140.3 171.5 193.4 170.7 181.0 2020.0 168.2 189.2 144.4 178.1 201.8 177.0 188.2 2021.0 174.0 196.7 148.4 184.8 210.2 183.4 195.4 2022.0 179.8 204.2 152.4 191.5 218.7 189.7 202.7 2023.0 185.6 211.9 156.3 198.3 227.3 196.0 210.0 2024.0 191.4 219.7 160.2 205.1 236.1 202.4 217.4 2025.0 197.3 227.6 164.0 212.0 245.1 208.8 224.9 2026.0 203.3 235.6 167.9 219.1 254.2 215.3 232.5 2027.0 209.3 243.8 171.7 226.2 263.5 221.8 240.2 2028.0 215.3 252.1 175.6 233.4 272.9 228.3 248.0 2029.0 221.6 260.5 179.5 240.8 282.6 235.0 256.0 2030.0 227.8 269.2 183.5 248.4 292.5 241.7 264.1 2031.0 234.3 278.1 187.6 256.2 302.6 248.6 272.4 2032.0 240.9 287.1 191.7 264.1 313.0 255.6 280.9 2033.0 247.6 296.5 196.0 272.3 323.6 262.7 289.5 2034.0 254.5 305.9 200.2 280.5 334.5 269.8 298.3 2035.0 261.4 315.6 204.5 288.9 345.5 277.1 307.2 2036.0 268.4 325.3 208.8 297.5 356.7 284.4 316.2 2037.0 275.4 335.3 213.1 306.1 368.1 291.8 325.3 2038.0 282.5 345.3 217.4 314.8 379.6 299.2 334.5 2039.0 289.6 355.4 221.6 323.6 391.2 306.5 343.8 2040.0 296.7 365.6 225.8 332.4 402.9 313.8 353.1 2041.0 303.9 375.9 229.9 341.3 414.7 321.2 362.4 2042.0 311.0 386.2 234.0 350.2 426.6 328.5 371.7 2043.0 318.0 396.5 238.0 359.1 438.5 335.7 381.1 2044.0 325.1 406.9 241.9 368.0 450.6 342.8 390.4 2045.0 332.1 417.3 245.7 376.9 462.6 349.9 399.8 2046.0 339.1 427.8 249.4 385.8 474.8 357.0 409.1 2047.0 346.0 438.3 253.1 394.8 486.9 364.0 418.5 2048.0 352.9 448.7 256.6 403.7 499.1 370.9 427.7 2049.0 359.7 459.2 260.0 412.5 511.3 377.7 437.0 2050.0 366.5 469.7 263.3 421.4 523.6 384.4 446.2 2051.0 373.2 480.2 266.5 430.3 535.9 391.1 455.5 2052.0 379.8 490.8 269.7 439.1 548.3 397.8 464.7 2053.0 386.5 501.4 272.8 448.0 560.7 404.4 474.0 2054.0 393.1 512.0 275.9 457.0 573.2 411.0 483.2 2055.0 399.8 522.7 278.8 465.9 585.7 417.5 492.5 2056.0 406.4 533.4 281.8 474.9 598.3 424.0 501.8 2057.0 413.0 544.2 284.6 483.9 611.0 430.4 511.1 2058.0 419.5 554.9 287.4 492.8 623.6 436.8 520.3 2059.0 426.0 565.7 290.0 501.8 636.3 443.1 529.6 2060.0 432.4 576.4 292.7 510.8 649.0 449.3 538.8 2061.0 438.7 587.2 295.2 519.6 661.6 455.4 548.0 2062.0 445.0 597.9 297.6 528.5 674.3 461.4 557.2 2063.0 451.1 608.6 299.9 537.3 686.9 467.4 566.3 2064.0 457.2 619.3 302.0 546.2 699.5 473.2 575.3 2065.0 463.2 630.0 304.2 555.0 712.1 478.9 584.3 2066.0 469.1 640.6 306.2 563.7 724.8 484.6 593.2 2067.0 475.0 651.3 308.1 572.5 737.4 490.3 602.2 2068.0 480.8 661.9 310.0 581.2 750.0 495.7 611.1 2069.0 486.5 672.5 311.8 589.8 762.5 501.2 619.9 2070.0 492.2 683.1 313.5 598.4 775.1 506.6 628.7 2071.0 497.7 693.7 315.1 607.0 787.6 511.8 637.4 2072.0 503.2 704.2 316.6 615.5 800.1 517.0 646.0 2073.0 508.6 714.6 318.0 624.0 812.5 522.1 654.6 2074.0 513.9 725.1 319.4 632.5 824.9 527.1 663.1 2075.0 519.1 735.5 320.6 640.9 837.3 532.1 671.6 2076.0 524.3 745.8 321.8 649.3 849.7 537.0 680.1 2077.0 529.4 756.2 322.9 657.6 862.1 541.8 688.5 2078.0 534.4 766.5 324.0 666.0 874.4 546.5 696.8 2079.0 539.4 776.8 324.9 674.2 886.7 551.2 705.1 2080.0 544.3 787.1 325.8 682.4 898.9 555.8 713.3 2081.0 549.1 797.3 326.6 690.6 911.1 560.2 721.4 2082.0 553.8 807.4 327.3 698.7 923.3 564.7 729.5 2083.0 558.3 817.5 328.0 706.7 935.3 569.0 737.5 2084.0 562.8 827.6 328.5 714.7 947.3 573.2 745.4 2085.0 567.2 837.5 329.0 722.6 959.3 577.4 753.3 2086.0 571.6 847.5 329.4 730.5 971.3 581.4 761.1 2087.0 575.9 857.4 329.8 738.3 983.2 585.4 768.9 2088.0 580.0 867.2 330.1 746.1 995.0 589.3 776.6 2089.0 584.1 877.1 330.3 753.8 1006.7 593.2 784.2 2090.0 588.1 886.9 330.6 761.5 1018.5 596.9 791.7 2091.0 592.0 896.6 330.7 769.1 1030.1 600.6 799.2 2092.0 595.9 906.2 330.8 776.7 1041.6 604.3 806.6 2093.0 599.6 915.9 330.9 784.2 1053.2 607.9 813.9 2094.0 603.3 925.5 330.8 791.7 1064.6 611.4 821.2 2095.0 606.9 934.9 330.8 799.1 1076.0 614.8 828.4 2096.0 610.5 944.4 330.7 806.5 1087.3 618.2 835.6 2097.0 613.9 953.8 330.5 813.8 1098.6 621.6 842.6 2098.0 617.3 963.2 330.4 821.1 1109.8 624.8 849.6 2099.0 620.5 972.6 330.2 828.3 1121.0 628.0 856.6 2100.0 623.8 981.9 329.9 835.4 1132.1 631.2 863.4 2101.0 626.9 991.1 329.7 842.5 1143.2 634.4 870.2